Momodou Bah, leader of the AFRO Movement
By Fatou Sillah
Momodou Bah, leader of the AFRO Movement and a declared presidential aspirant, has predicted that President Adama Barrow will lose the 2026 elections, citing what he described as widespread dissatisfaction with the government’s performance across key sectors.
In an interview with West Coast Radio, Mr. Bah argued that the administration’s record in office had weakened its electoral prospects.
“He is scoring very badly, and he is making himself lose the next election, and he will lose the next election,” he said.
Mr. Bah also advanced a broader argument about electoral dynamics, saying incumbents, rather than opposition parties, ultimately determine electoral outcomes.
“Opposition parties, political leaders, government opponents—they don’t win elections. It is the government that loses elections,” he said.
He suggested that voters tend to reward administrations that meet public expectations and punish those that do not.
“If you are a serious government and you are doing what is expected of you, the people will continue to vote for you. But if you are not doing what is expected of you, the people will not vote for you,” he said.
Turning to his assessment of the current administration, Mr. Bah said recent indicators pointed to growing public dissatisfaction, citing concerns over insecurity, poverty, and press freedom.
“All the signals are not good for the Barrow government, ranging from insecurity, poverty, press freedom, and many, many things,” he said.
He also alleged that corruption and other governance-related scandals tend to intensify as elections approach.
“As we move closer to the polls, you see a lot of corruption scandals and insecurity,” he said.
Mr. Bah further pointed to global economic and geopolitical instability, warning that international developments were already affecting The Gambia’s economy, particularly through rising fuel and food prices.
“It is affecting us through fuel prices, through food security, and stability in general. Businesses are at a standstill,” he said. “Imagine if we enter into a global crisis. Could we trust this government with handling our affairs?”
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