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Parliamentary Election: NPP Predicted To Win More Seats Except In KM, WCR

CepRaSS Executive Director, Lamin Dampha presenting the findings of the survey at NaNA conference hall on 6th April 2022

By Landing Ceesay

A recent survey by the Centre for Policy, Research and Strategic Studies (CepRaSS) has revealed that the National People’s Party (NPP) is the favourite to win a majority of the National Assembly seats in the Saturday’s polls.

However, the survey predicted that the opposition is likely to win more seats in the Kanifing and Brikama administrative areas than in the rest of the country.

“Generally, the results on the intention to vote are seemingly in favour of NPP winning the majority of seats in Saturday’s polls. In all the scenarios except scenario two, NPP candidates won the intention to vote in the majority of the constituencies considered.

“Furthermore, the results show that NPP candidates are likely to win more seats in the rural than urban Gambia. Also, the opposition is likely to win more seats in the Kanifing and Brikama local government areas than in other local areas,” CepRaSS said.

The CepRaSS findings further revealed that none of the GDC candidates has won on the respondents’ intention to vote in any of the constituencies.

“This poll did not reflect their perceived strength as a big opposition, especially judging by their performance in the 2016 and 2017 elections. However, their performance in the past presidential election was also below their performance in the 2016 presidential election,” CepRaSS revealed earlier today in its pre-election polls survey 2022.

Meanwhile, a survey by the CepRass ahead of the 2021 presidential election predicted victory for the NPP, which was vindicated by the election results, as Barrow gained re-elected with more than 50 percent of the votes.  

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